Navy mascot

College Football Preview: Navy (2-1) at SMU (0-3)

 

Navy at SMU
Navy Midshipmen at SMU Mustangs (image: NavySports.com)

Navy Midshipmen at Southern Methodist University Mustangs

Saturday, September 22, 2018; noon ET
Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas, TX

The Side-by-Side Stats

The Navy Midshipmen (2-1) return to conference play this weekend as they take on the 0-3 SMU Mustangs in Dallas.

Navy is looking for their third straight win. Despite dominating Lehigh last Saturday, the Mids played sloppy in a number of areas.

While SMU is winless on the season, the Mustangs have faced two top-25 schools (TCU and Michigan) in their first three games. With a quarterback controversy brewing on the Hilltop, SMU is ready for a statement win.

Here’s a look at how last week’s stats for each team match up.

Last Week’s Results: NAVY: 51-21, win over Lehigh… SMU: 45-20, loss to Michigan
Total Yards: NAVY: 629… SMU: 319
Passing Yards: NAVY: 145… SMU: 209
Rushing Yards: NAVY: 484… SMU: 110
Penalty Yards: NAVY: 8 for 63 yards… SMU: 6 for 60 yards
1st Downs: NAVY: 26… SMU: 22
3rd Downs: NAVY: 6 of 13… SMU: 5 of 14
4th Downs: NAVY: 2 of 3… SMU: 3 of 4
Time of Possession: NAVY: 37:41… SMU: 26:52

A Look at the SMU Offense

The Mustangs are averaging just over 18 points per game. Their offense averages 272 yards per game, with only 81.6 of those yards on the ground. SMU has been outscored 133-44 through the first three games of the season.

These are not good numbers, no matter how many top-25 teams a school schedules to start their year.

A lot of the fault for these flat stats lies on the unexpectedly poor play of junior QB, Ben Hicks. After throwing for 3,569 yards and 33 TDs last season, Hicks has struggled this year. Completing only 47 percent of his passes for 476 yards and 3 TDs in SMU’s first three games, first year head coach Sonny Dykes benched the junior for the second half of last week’s loss against Michigan.

True freshman William Brown took over for Hicks at QB. The highly-touted Brown completed 11 of his 17 passes, throwing two TDs in 87 yards. As to who will start behind center against Navy, Dykes says that may come down to a game time decision depending how practice goes this week.

On the ground, Braeden West (senior, RB) leads the SMU offense with 129 yards and two TDs this season. West is one of only four players in the FBS to have scored both a 50-plus yard rushing and receiving TD in 2018.

James Proche (junior, WR) is SMU’s biggest threat receiving. Proche had a career-high 11 receptions for 166 yards and 2 TDs in last week’s game. In the previous 13 games, he has caught 40 passes for 816 yards (11th in the AAC) and six TDs (12th in the AAC).

A Look at the SMU Defense

The Mustangs have allowed at least 38 points in their last seven games. Worse yet, 91 percent of the time that an opponent makes it into the red zone against SMU, that opponent scores. Again, not good numbers.

Kevin Kane, SMU’s new defensive coordinator, has been tasked with fixing these problems. Kane is young, only 34-years old, but he is not inexperienced. He held the DC job at Northern Illinois the last two years. So, there is every reason to believe that SMU’s defense will only be getting better as the season progresses.

Navy’s head coach Ken Niumatalolo commented this week on the Mustangs efforts against a tough Michigan offense, “Physically, (SMU) held up pretty well against the run last Saturday. Michigan tried to pound them up the middle and they played physical inside.”

Navy might have particular concerns about SMU’s defense. The Midshipmen offense has allowed an average of five tackles for loss per game this year. Meanwhile, SMU ranks in the top-25 in tackles for loss per game (7.7).

SMU Players to Watch

Mikial Onu (junior, S): made his third career INT last week against Michigan
C.J. Sanders (senior, WR): leads all active FBS players in combined kick return yards (2,447) and kickoff return yards (2,140)
Jordan Wyatt (senior, CB): has five defensive return TDs and four career interception return TDs, leading SMU’s all-time players in both categories
Rodney Clemons (junior, DB): leads SMU with 23 tackles on the season
Patrick Nelson: has 1.5 sacks

Keys to a Navy Win

1. Past is not present… Navy must ignore SMU’s record. The Mustangs are better than their numbers this year.

2. Play sharp, not sloppy… Don’t make Coach Niumatalolo mad. The mistakes made against Lehigh last week must not be repeated.

Chloe Stowe

Full-time novelist and blogger, Chloe Stowe loves to spin a tale almost as much as she loves her Nats, Navy sports and DC United. #LineupGirl #NavyMaven-- www.chloestowe.net -- @chloeontherocks on Twitter

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *